Non League Premier - Isthmian · 03 Nov 2026

Eastbourne Borough vs Stanway RoversMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
50%
Draw
50%
Away win
0%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:30 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 02 Nov 2026 16:15 UTC; synced 03 Nov 2026 00:30 UTC. Saved 03 Nov 2026 00:41 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
1.28
Without margin
69.65%
Provider estimate
50.00%
Provider − market
-19.65 pp

Draw

Decimal odds
4.75
Without margin
18.77%
Provider estimate
50.00%
Provider − market
+31.23 pp

Away win

Decimal odds
7.7
Without margin
11.58%
Provider estimate
0.00%
Provider − market
-11.58 pp

Raw implied probability total: 112.16%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Eastbourne Borough

WWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Eastbourne Borough scored 12 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Eastbourne Borough 2–0 RamsgateNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC
  2. Eastbourne Borough 1–0 Welling UnitedNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC
  3. Eastbourne Borough 4–2 Welwyn Garden CityFA Trophy · UTC
  4. Eastbourne Borough 3–0 Away teamFA Cup · UTC
  5. Eastbourne Borough 2–1 Chatham TownNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC

Away matches

Stanway Rovers

LLLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 19
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Stanway Rovers scored 6 and conceded 19 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Leatherhead 7–2 Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC
  2. Ramsgate 2–0 Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC
  3. Wingate & Finchley 4–1 Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC
  4. Brentwood Town 2–3 Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC
  5. Whyteleafe 4–0 Stanway RoversNon League Premier - Isthmian · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Eastbourne Borough

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Stanway Rovers

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Eastbourne Borough

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Stanway Rovers

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Eastbourne Borough

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Regular Season
Position 3
Points / played
28 / 13

Table source synced 03 Nov 2026 00:21 UTC.

Stanway Rovers

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Regular Season
Position 21
Points / played
7 / 14

Table source synced 03 Nov 2026 00:21 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 03 Nov 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1595994
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
119d54277b3d61dc239b0c4456c270e7f5574d937f11d692c627529759841cc9