Central Youth League · 07 Oct 2026

Wisła Kraków U19 vs Polonia Warszawa U19Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–3 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 07 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Source synced 07 Oct 2026 18:59 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 07 Oct 2026 14:11 UTC Source synced 07 Oct 2026 14:11 UTC · source kickoff 07 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 3–3 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 07 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC Source synced 07 Oct 2026 18:59 UTC · source kickoff 07 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Draw. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v2. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 07 Oct 2026 00:15 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Wisła Kraków U19

LWDWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Wisła Kraków U19 scored 9 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Wisła Kraków U19 0–1 Stal Rzeszów U19Central Youth League · UTC
  2. Wisła Kraków U19 4–0 Talent Warszawa U19Central Youth League · UTC
  3. Wisła Kraków U19 2–2 Korona Kielce U19Central Youth League · UTC
  4. Wisła Kraków U19 2–1 Znicz Pruszków U19Central Youth League · UTC
  5. Wisła Kraków U19 1–3 Arkonia U19Central Youth League · UTC

Away matches

Polonia Warszawa U19

LLDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Polonia Warszawa U19 scored 3 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Escola Varsovia U19 1–0 Polonia Warszawa U19Central Youth League · UTC
  2. Arkonia U19 1–0 Polonia Warszawa U19Central Youth League · UTC
  3. Górnik Zabrze U19 0–0 Polonia Warszawa U19Central Youth League · UTC
  4. Lech Poznań U19 3–2 Polonia Warszawa U19Central Youth League · UTC
  5. Podlasie Biała Podlaska 3–1 Polonia Warszawa U19Friendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Wisła Kraków U19

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Polonia Warszawa U19

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Wisła Kraków U19

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Polonia Warszawa U19

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Wisła Kraków U19

5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 02 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Central Youth League U19
Position 5
Points / played
13 / 8

Table source synced 06 Oct 2026 23:22 UTC.

Polonia Warszawa U19

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 04 Oct 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Central Youth League U19
Position 11
Points / played
10 / 8

Table source synced 06 Oct 2026 23:22 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1599238
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
da1126eaf1a0d3ec42af80db203415cf83125809dfe1f12fe53cedf9f31b9d60