Serie B · 28 Oct 2026

Pisa vs PalermoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–3 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 29 Oct 2026 18:50 UTC. Source synced 28 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · 2H Initial source observation · 28 Oct 2026 19:21 UTC Source synced 28 Oct 2026 19:21 UTC · source kickoff 28 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 3–3 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 29 Oct 2026 18:50 UTC Source synced 28 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC · source kickoff 28 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Pisa

WLWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Pisa scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Pisa 3–1 CremoneseSerie B · UTC
  2. Pisa 1–4 Virtus EntellaSerie B · UTC
  3. Pisa 2–1 CatanzaroSerie B · UTC
  4. Pisa 0–1 PadovaSerie B · UTC
  5. Pisa 0–1 PRO VercelliFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

Palermo

WWDWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Palermo scored 10 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Mantova 0–2 PalermoSerie B · UTC
  2. Empoli 2–4 PalermoSerie B · UTC
  3. Avellino 1–1 PalermoSerie B · UTC
  4. Arezzo 2–3 PalermoSerie B · UTC
  5. Juventus 2–0 PalermoFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Pisa

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.96 / 2.56
xG per match, for / against
1.99 / 0.85
Goals on this same sample
5 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Pisa vs Cremonese xG for / against Pisa: 2.31 / 0.44 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 08:46 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 08:46 UTC.
  2. Pisa vs Catanzaro xG for / against Pisa: 2.04 / 1.09 Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 00:18 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 00:18 UTC.
  3. Pisa vs Padova xG for / against Pisa: 1.61 / 1.03 Statistics synced: team 23 Aug 2026 19:02 UTC; opponent 23 Aug 2026 19:02 UTC.

Away matches

Palermo

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
9.41 / 6.81
xG per match, for / against
2.35 / 1.70
Goals on this same sample
10 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Mantova vs Palermo xG for / against Palermo: 1.94 / 1.84 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC.
  2. Empoli vs Palermo xG for / against Palermo: 4.91 / 1.91 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 02:35 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 02:35 UTC.
  3. Avellino vs Palermo xG for / against Palermo: 0.55 / 1.87 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 07:00 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 07:00 UTC.
  4. Arezzo vs Palermo xG for / against Palermo: 2.01 / 1.19 Statistics synced: team 31 Aug 2026 06:20 UTC; opponent 31 Aug 2026 06:20 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Pisa

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Palermo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Pisa

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie B
Position 6
Points / played
14 / 8

Table source synced 28 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Palermo

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Serie B
Position 1
Points / played
22 / 8

Table source synced 28 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 28 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1601582
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
9f2791e56fd472f89a839d2442d5dfb316a87dfd4ad9386f64108835cb891ec6