Third League - Southwest · 28 Oct 2026

Oborishte vs Septemvri Sofia IIMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Source status: NS · no confirmed regulation-time result

Result record v1 · recorded 28 Oct 2026 19:50 UTC. Source synced 28 Oct 2026 19:49 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 28 Oct 2026 00:17 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Oborishte

LWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Oborishte scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Oborishte 1–3 Yantra 2019Cup · UTC
  2. Oborishte 3–1 Pirin RazlogThird League - Southwest · UTC
  3. Oborishte 0–1 BanskoThird League - Southwest · UTC
  4. Oborishte 2–1 Pirin Gotse DelchevThird League - Southwest · UTC
  5. Oborishte 0–2 Botev IhtimanThird League - Southwest · UTC

Away matches

Septemvri Sofia II

WLDWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Septemvri Sofia II scored 8 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Levski Sofia II 0–2 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC
  2. Slivnishki geroy 3–1 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC
  3. Kyustendil 0–0 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC
  4. Vitosha Bistritsa 0–3 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC
  5. Germaneya 0–2 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Oborishte

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Septemvri Sofia II

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Oborishte

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Septemvri Sofia II

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Oborishte

24 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 04 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Southwest
Position 2
Points / played
25 / 12

Table source synced 27 Oct 2026 23:19 UTC.

Septemvri Sofia II

150.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 May 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Southwest
Position 6
Points / played
19 / 12

Table source synced 27 Oct 2026 23:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Septemvri Sofia II 2–0 OborishteThird League - Southwest · UTC
  2. Oborishte 2–0 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC
  3. Septemvri Sofia II 3–2 OborishteThird League - Southwest · UTC
  4. Oborishte 1–0 Septemvri Sofia IIThird League - Southwest · UTC
  5. Septemvri Sofia II 0–2 OborishteThird League - Southwest · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 28 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1603847
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
c45caca3287fd799cfadb365cef568255d1e5074a4d2101a2d7e7c546a9ab3c4