First League · 09 Oct 2026

BKMA II vs Ararat IIMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–1 · regulation time

Result record v3 · recorded 29 Oct 2026 19:31 UTC. Source synced 29 Oct 2026 19:29 UTC.

Source kickoff changed to 29 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. The original publication retains its scheduled kickoff.

Result changes (2)
  1. v1 · NS Initial source observation · 09 Oct 2026 11:40 UTC Source synced 09 Oct 2026 11:39 UTC · source kickoff 09 Oct 2026 11:30 UTC
  2. v2 · PST Source status, score or kickoff changed · 09 Oct 2026 17:10 UTC Source synced 09 Oct 2026 17:09 UTC · source kickoff 09 Oct 2026 11:30 UTC
  3. v3 · FT · 0–1 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 29 Oct 2026 19:31 UTC Source synced 29 Oct 2026 19:29 UTC · source kickoff 29 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 26 Sep 2026 12:27 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

BKMA II

LWLWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

BKMA II scored 7 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. BKMA II 1–4 AndranikFirst League · UTC
  2. BKMA II 2–0 Bentonit IjevanFirst League · UTC
  3. BKMA II 0–1 MikaFirst League · UTC
  4. BKMA II 4–0 Lernayin ArtsakhFirst League · UTC
  5. BKMA II 0–0 Banants IIFirst League · UTC

Away matches

Ararat II

WLDDL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Ararat II scored 7 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Noah II 0–4 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC
  2. Araks Ararat 3–1 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC
  3. Syunik 0–0 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC
  4. Ararat-Armenia II 0–0 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC
  5. Araks Ararat 4–2 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

BKMA II

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Ararat II

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

BKMA II

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Ararat II

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

BKMA II

18 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 21 Sep 2026 11:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

First League
Position 3
Points / played
16 / 8

Table source synced 08 Oct 2026 23:17 UTC.

Ararat II

17 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 22 Sep 2026 11:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

First League
Position 11
Points / played
6 / 6

Table source synced 08 Oct 2026 23:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. BKMA II 4–0 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC
  2. Ararat II 2–4 BKMA IIFirst League · UTC
  3. Ararat II 0–2 BKMA IIFirst League · UTC
  4. BKMA II 6–0 Ararat IIFirst League · UTC
  5. Ararat II 1–3 BKMA IIFirst League · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 09 Oct 2026 00:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1605087
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
6073d095a608dfd8a830ad48d828662fb16aeb4a5faca56ebf858841eb5c6ba5