Third League - Southeast · 21 Oct 2026

Neftochimic Burgas vs Sayana HaskovoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Source status: NS · no confirmed regulation-time result

Result record v1 · recorded 22 Oct 2026 03:41 UTC. Source synced 21 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 21 Oct 2026 00:16 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Neftochimic Burgas

LDDWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Neftochimic Burgas scored 9 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Neftochimic Burgas 0–4 CSKA 1948Cup · UTC
  2. Neftochimic Burgas 1–1 Sportist SvogeCup · UTC
  3. Neftochimic Burgas 2–2 Maritsa MilevoThird League - Southeast · UTC
  4. Neftochimic Burgas 3–1 Rodopa SmolyanThird League - Southeast · UTC
  5. Neftochimic Burgas 3–1 Rakovski 2011Third League - Southeast · UTC

Away matches

Sayana Haskovo

WLLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Sayana Haskovo scored 10 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Zagorets 2–3 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast · UTC
  2. Maritsa Plovdiv 4–3 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast · UTC
  3. Rozova dolina 3–1 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast · UTC
  4. Gigant Saedinenie 0–2 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast · UTC
  5. Rodopa Smolyan 2–1 Sayana HaskovoThird League - Southeast · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Neftochimic Burgas

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Sayana Haskovo

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Neftochimic Burgas

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sayana Haskovo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Neftochimic Burgas

5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 16 Oct 2026 12:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Southeast
Position 6
Points / played
16 / 9

Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:19 UTC.

Sayana Haskovo

203 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Southeast
Position 4
Points / played
21 / 10

Table source synced 21 Oct 2026 00:19 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 21 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1606174
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
f94f6936782151e81b7e5984d1e69cc69b35254f381a38a1cd74de73ddb89caf