J2 League · 31 Oct 2026

Vanraure Hachinohe vs Montedio YamagataMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 31 Oct 2026 20:40 UTC. Source synced 31 Oct 2026 20:39 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Away win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 31 Oct 2026 00:08 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Vanraure Hachinohe

LLLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
1 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
0/5 0%

Vanraure Hachinohe scored 1 and conceded 8 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 0 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Vanraure Hachinohe 0–2 Yokohama FCJ2 League · UTC
  2. Vanraure Hachinohe 0–3 Tegevajaro MiyazakiJ2 League · UTC
  3. Vanraure Hachinohe 0–1 Shonan BellmareJ2 League · UTC
  4. Vanraure Hachinohe 0–2 Tochigi CityJ-League Cup · UTC
  5. Vanraure Hachinohe 1–0 Blaublitz AkitaJ2 League · UTC

Away matches

Montedio Yamagata

DLLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Montedio Yamagata scored 5 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Fujieda MYFC 0–0 Montedio YamagataJ2 League · UTC
  2. Oita Trinita 2–1 Montedio YamagataJ2 League · UTC
  3. Albirex Niigata 1–0 Montedio YamagataJ2 League · UTC
  4. Tochigi SC 0–1 Montedio YamagataJ-League Cup · UTC
  5. Imabari 0–3 Montedio YamagataJ2 League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Vanraure Hachinohe

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Montedio Yamagata

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Vanraure Hachinohe

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Montedio Yamagata

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Vanraure Hachinohe

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 05:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

J2 League
Position 16
Points / played
14 / 13

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Montedio Yamagata

6 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 05:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

J2 League
Position 17
Points / played
13 / 13

Table source synced 31 Oct 2026 00:18 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Montedio Yamagata 1–0 Vanraure HachinoheJ2/J3 League · UTC
  2. Vanraure Hachinohe 0–2 Montedio YamagataJ2/J3 League · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 31 Oct 2026 00:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1606729
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
520dc8aaeee1a3b8e0836ee695c160886dd3d40efbffcdbb7a205e4fe25f5a2f