Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 1–1· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 02 Oct 2026 18:20 UTC. Source synced 01 Oct 2026 23:08 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 08 Aug 2026 21:11 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Atletico Torque
LDWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Atletico Torque scored 11 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Atletico Torque 0–2 Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División · UTC
Atletico Torque 3–3 AtenasCopa Uruguay · UTC
Atletico Torque 3–0 CiencianoCONMEBOL Sudamericana · UTC
Atletico Torque 3–1 Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División · UTC
Atletico Torque 2–1 Cerro LargoPrimera División · UTC
Away matches
Penarol
DWWDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Penarol scored 9 and conceded 4 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Danubio 1–1 PenarolCopa Uruguay · UTC
Cerro 1–2 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
Danubio 0–4 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
Atenas 2–2 PenarolCopa Uruguay · UTC
Deportivo Maldonado 0–0 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Atletico Torque
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Away matches
Penarol
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Atletico Torque
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Penarol
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Atletico Torque
3.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 27 Sep 2026 00:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 3
Points / played
53 / 29
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Promedios
Position 6
Points / played
102 / 66
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 4
Points / played
12 / 7
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Apertura
Position 6
Points / played
23 / 15
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Clausura
Position 1
Points / played
18 / 7
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Penarol
4.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 26 Sep 2026 21:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 1
Points / played
58 / 29
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Promedios
Position 1
Points / played
137 / 66
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 1
Points / played
16 / 7
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Apertura
Position 4
Points / played
27 / 15
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Primera: Clausura
Position 3
Points / played
15 / 7
Table source synced 30 Sep 2026 00:40 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Penarol 3–1 Atletico TorquePrimera División · UTC
Atletico Torque 0–2 PenarolPrimera División - Clausura · UTC
Penarol 2–1 Atletico TorquePrimera División - Apertura · UTC
Penarol 1–3 Atletico TorqueCopa Uruguay · UTC
Atletico Torque 2–3 PenarolPrimera División - Clausura · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 30 Sep 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.