Reserve League · 08 Oct 2026

Belgrano Córdoba Res. vs San Martín San Juan Res.Match analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 08 Oct 2026 20:21 UTC. Source synced 08 Oct 2026 20:19 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Home win. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 08 Oct 2026 00:16 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

DWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Belgrano Córdoba Res. scored 7 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1–1 Talleres Córdoba Res.Reserve League · UTC
  2. Belgrano Córdoba Res. 2–1 Deportivo Riestra Res.Reserve League · UTC
  3. Belgrano Córdoba Res. 2–0 Newell's Old Boys Res.Reserve League · UTC
  4. Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1–0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2Reserve League · UTC
  5. Belgrano Córdoba Res. 1–1 Ferro 2Reserve League · UTC

Away matches

San Martín San Juan Res.

LLWLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 14
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
0/5 0%

San Martín San Juan Res. scored 5 and conceded 14 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 0 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Newell's Old Boys Res. 4–0 San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · UTC
  2. Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 1–0 San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · UTC
  3. Ferro 2 0–5 San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · UTC
  4. Independiente Res. 9–0 San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · UTC
  5. Platense Res. 0–0 San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

San Martín San Juan Res.

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

San Martín San Juan Res.

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Belgrano Córdoba Res.

8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Sep 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 14
Points / played
27 / 18

Table source synced 07 Oct 2026 23:26 UTC.

Clausura
Position 10
Points / played
19 / 11

Table source synced 07 Oct 2026 23:26 UTC.

San Martín San Juan Res.

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 01 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Apertura
Position 36
Points / played
8 / 18

Table source synced 07 Oct 2026 23:26 UTC.

Clausura
Position 30
Points / played
10 / 11

Table source synced 07 Oct 2026 23:26 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 08 Oct 2026 00:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1612076
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
4c25b571ed667b9b70135930fe5c9e2d8ff89186b83f0e09253c2438fd8ecc5b