Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · 18 Oct 2026

Guijuelo vs La Virgen del CaminoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 5–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 18 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Source synced 18 Oct 2026 18:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Guijuelo

LLWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Guijuelo scored 10 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Guijuelo 1–2 BembibreTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC
  2. Guijuelo 1–2 Away teamFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Guijuelo 2–1 TamaraceiteTercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs · UTC
  4. Guijuelo 2–0 UD Santa MartaTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC
  5. Guijuelo 4–0 Atlético TordesillasTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC

Away matches

La Virgen del Camino

LWWLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

La Virgen del Camino scored 6 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Bembibre 2–0 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC
  2. Turégano 0–1 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC
  3. Salamanca II 1–2 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC
  4. Mojados 2–1 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC
  5. Palencia CF 3–2 La Virgen del CaminoTercera División RFEF - Group 8 · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Guijuelo

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

La Virgen del Camino

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Guijuelo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

La Virgen del Camino

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Guijuelo

8.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 14:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Tercera: Group 8
Position 13
Points / played
6 / 5

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 03:28 UTC.

La Virgen del Camino

8.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 14:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Tercera: Group 8
Position 7
Points / played
12 / 6

Table source synced 18 Oct 2026 03:28 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 18 Oct 2026 04:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1614902
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
e3b48c3e87de5f620bdf431b57d92357c438a8b866c1d80abd2d1a1bdcda624d