Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–3· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 02 Oct 2026 18:20 UTC. Source synced 28 Sep 2026 22:08 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Brier score: 0.667· lower is better (0–2)
Observed outcome: Away win.
Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.
Provider rounding was adjusted for scoring only by dividing each probability by their total. Displayed and stored percentages remain unchanged.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
33%
Draw
33%
Away win
33%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw / Away
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 27 Sep 2026 04:40 UTC. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. Not captured in this saved publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Acambaro
DWDWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
13 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Acambaro scored 13 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Acambaro 1–1 Dragones de OaxacaLiga Premier Serie A · UTC
Acambaro 8–0 Cañoneros MarinaLiga Premier Serie A · UTC
Acambaro 0–0 Gorilas de JuanacatlanLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Acambaro 1–0 Gorilas de JuanacatlanLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Acambaro 3–2 Aguacateros CDULiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Away matches
Artesanos Metepec
WWWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Artesanos Metepec scored 11 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Real Refineros 0–2 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie A · UTC
FC Racing 1–3 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Gorilas de Juanacatlan 1–3 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
FC Racing 1–1 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Huracanes Izcalli 0–2 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Acambaro
xG: N/A. Not captured in this saved publication.
Away matches
Artesanos Metepec
xG: N/A. Not captured in this saved publication.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Team news: N/A. Not captured in this saved publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Acambaro
8.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 01:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Liga Premier Serie A
Position 3
Points / played
10 / 4
Table source synced 27 Sep 2026 17:24 UTC.
Artesanos Metepec
8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 19 Sep 2026 22:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Liga Premier Serie A
Position 1
Points / played
13 / 4
Table source synced 27 Sep 2026 17:24 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
Artesanos Metepec 1–0 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Acambaro 2–1 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Artesanos Metepec 0–1 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Acambaro 0–0 Artesanos MetepecLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Artesanos Metepec 1–0 AcambaroLiga Premier Serie B · UTC
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 27 Sep 2026 18:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.