Cupa României · 29 Oct 2026

Concordia vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 30 Oct 2026 00:01 UTC. Source synced 29 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Brier score: 0.515 · lower is better (0–2)

Observed outcome: Draw. Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.

How this score is calculated · View aggregate Provider model performance. Performance uses its displayed reporting cutoff, so an earlier report can use a different result revision.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 29 Oct 2026 00:16 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Concordia

WLLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Concordia scored 12 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Concordia 5–0 Viitorul ŞelimbărLiga II · UTC
  2. Concordia 0–1 Metalul BuzăuLiga II · UTC
  3. Concordia 1–2 CS AfumatiLiga II · UTC
  4. Concordia 1–5 FC Politehnica TimisoaraLiga II · UTC
  5. Concordia 5–1 OţelulCupa României · UTC

Away matches

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

DLLWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
2 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe scored 2 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I · UTC
  2. Uta Arad 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I · UTC
  3. FC Botosani 5–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I · UTC
  4. Arges Pitesti 0–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I · UTC
  5. Csikszereda 0–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Concordia

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.05 / 0.78
xG per match, for / against
1.05 / 0.78
Goals on this same sample
1 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Petrolul Ploiesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe xG for / against Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe: 1.05 / 0.78 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 06:14 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 06:14 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Concordia

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Concordia

5.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 08:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

2.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 26 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 3–1 ConcordiaLiga II · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 29 Oct 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1632268
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
8cc5f0915ba5aac899ce779a25012781501d92806fcd607185ef2925e7da6959