Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 3–2· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 14 Oct 2026 21:01 UTC. Source synced 14 Oct 2026 20:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 07 Oct 2026 19:07 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Real Betis
WWWWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Real Betis scored 10 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Real Betis 5–2 OsasunaLa Liga · UTC
Real Betis 1–0 GetafeLa Liga · UTC
Real Betis 1–0 Real MadridLa Liga · UTC
Real Betis 1–0 Real SociedadLa Liga · UTC
Real Betis 2–2 BournemouthFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Away matches
FC Porto
WWWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
14 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
FC Porto scored 14 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Maritimo 1–2 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC
Deportivo La Coruna 1–3 FC PortoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Casa Pia 1–4 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC
Academico Viseu 0–3 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC
Rio Ave 0–2 FC PortoPrimeira Liga · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Real Betis
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.84 / 3.63
xG per match, for / against
1.95 / 1.21
Goals on this same sample
7 / 2
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Real Betis vs OsasunaxG for / against Real Betis: 2.89 / 1.94
Statistics synced: team 12 Oct 2026 21:16 UTC; opponent 12 Oct 2026 21:16 UTC.
Real Betis vs GetafexG for / against Real Betis: 1.89 / 0.29
Statistics synced: team 01 Oct 2026 19:57 UTC; opponent 01 Oct 2026 19:57 UTC.
Real Betis vs Real SociedadxG for / against Real Betis: 1.06 / 1.40
Statistics synced: team 21 Aug 2026 22:19 UTC; opponent 21 Aug 2026 22:19 UTC.
Away matches
FC Porto
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.16 / 0.85
xG per match, for / against
2.08 / 0.43
Goals on this same sample
4 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Maritimo vs FC PortoxG for / against FC Porto: 2.19 / 0.27
Statistics synced: team 12 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC; opponent 12 Oct 2026 08:05 UTC.
Rio Ave vs FC PortoxG for / against FC Porto: 1.97 / 0.58
Statistics synced: team 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC; opponent 15 Aug 2026 22:20 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Real Betis
Reported absences
J. FirpoMissing Fixture · Groin Injury
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
A. RuibalMissing Fixture · Knee Injury
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
I. LosadaMissing Fixture · Inactive
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
FC Porto
Reported absences
N. PerezQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
J. BednarekMissing Fixture · Red Card
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
ZaiduQuestionable · Muscle Injury
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
V. SousaMissing Fixture · Leg Injury
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
D. PrpicMissing Fixture · Off the roster
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
William GomesQuestionable · Injury
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
Gabriel MecMissing Fixture · Off the roster
Record synced 13 Oct 2026 18:34 UTC.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Real Betis
3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 11 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
UEFA Champions League
Position 11
Points / played
3 / 1
Table source synced 13 Oct 2026 18:16 UTC.
FC Porto
4.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
UEFA Champions League
Position 31
Points / played
0 / 1
Table source synced 13 Oct 2026 18:16 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 13 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.