UEFA Champions League · 13 Oct 2026

Inter vs Club Brugge KVMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–4 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 13 Oct 2026 23:50 UTC. Source synced 13 Oct 2026 23:49 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 07 Oct 2026 19:16 UTC. A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Inter

WWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
17 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Inter scored 17 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Inter 3–0 ParmaSerie A · UTC
  2. Inter 2–0 LumezzaneFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Inter 5–3 UdineseSerie A · UTC
  4. Inter 3–2 NapoliSerie A · UTC
  5. Inter 4–1 MonzaSerie A · UTC

Away matches

Club Brugge KV

WWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Club Brugge KV scored 10 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League · UTC
  2. Lommel United 0–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League · UTC
  3. Gent 2–1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League · UTC
  4. OH Leuven 0–3 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League · UTC
  5. Rennes 2–1 Club Brugge KVFriendlies Clubs · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Inter

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.55 / 1.43
xG per match, for / against
2.78 / 0.72
Goals on this same sample
8 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Inter vs Parma xG for / against Inter: 2.50 / 0.51 Statistics synced: team 12 Oct 2026 06:19 UTC; opponent 12 Oct 2026 06:19 UTC.
  2. Inter vs Udinese xG for / against Inter: 3.05 / 0.92 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 10:19 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 10:19 UTC.

Away matches

Club Brugge KV

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
4.88 / 1.10
xG per match, for / against
4.88 / 1.10
Goals on this same sample
4 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. RAAL La Louvière vs Club Brugge KV xG for / against Club Brugge KV: 4.88 / 1.10 Statistics synced: team 12 Oct 2026 07:15 UTC; opponent 12 Oct 2026 07:15 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Inter

Reported absences

  • C. JonesMissing Fixture · Thigh Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 18:24 UTC.
  • J. StonesMissing Fixture · Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 18:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Club Brugge KV

Reported absences

  • J. OrdonezMissing Fixture · Foot Injury Record synced 12 Oct 2026 18:24 UTC.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Inter

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

UEFA Champions League
Position 25
Points / played
0 / 1

Table source synced 12 Oct 2026 18:16 UTC.

Club Brugge KV

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 16:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

UEFA Champions League
Position 24
Points / played
0 / 1

Table source synced 12 Oct 2026 18:16 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 12 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1635671
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
ba37bd87f0186436f5200c7458082a538660aa7db960b2f7689a834c9b3c11a8