DFB Pokal · 28 Oct 2026

Bayern München vs 1. FC MagdeburgMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 6–1 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 29 Oct 2026 02:00 UTC. Source synced 28 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Bayern München

DWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
25 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Bayern München scored 25 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Bayern München 2–2 ArsenalUEFA Champions League · UTC
  2. Bayern München 6–1 RB LeipzigBundesliga · UTC
  3. Bayern München 7–0 Union BerlinBundesliga · UTC
  4. Bayern München 5–0 Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League · UTC
  5. Bayern München 5–1 VfB StuttgartBundesliga · UTC

Away matches

1. FC Magdeburg

LDLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

1. FC Magdeburg scored 9 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Dynamo Dresden 2–0 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga · UTC
  2. SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1–1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga · UTC
  3. Hertha BSC 2–1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga · UTC
  4. Bahlinger SC 0–4 1. FC MagdeburgDFB Pokal · UTC
  5. VfL Osnabrück 0–3 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Bayern München

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
13.54 / 3.75
xG per match, for / against
3.39 / 0.94
Goals on this same sample
20 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Bayern München vs Arsenal xG for / against Bayern München: 2.50 / 1.71 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 09:46 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 09:46 UTC.
  2. Bayern München vs RB Leipzig xG for / against Bayern München: 3.40 / 0.84 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 08:15 UTC.
  3. Bayern München vs Union Berlin xG for / against Bayern München: 3.71 / 0.34 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 19:17 UTC.
  4. Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart xG for / against Bayern München: 3.93 / 0.86 Statistics synced: team 28 Aug 2026 20:34 UTC; opponent 28 Aug 2026 20:34 UTC.

Away matches

1. FC Magdeburg

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.77 / 2.75
xG per match, for / against
0.89 / 1.38
Goals on this same sample
1 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg xG for / against 1. FC Magdeburg: 0.87 / 2.05 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 13:45 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 13:45 UTC.
  2. SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg xG for / against 1. FC Magdeburg: 0.90 / 0.70 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 16:47 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 16:47 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Bayern München

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

1. FC Magdeburg

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Bayern München

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

1. FC Magdeburg

4.4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 24 Oct 2026 11:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 28 Oct 2026 01:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1638558
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
f9a07a8c9e873beda900a0e073acd86327e5ab7647d34ba146a188561074a1e4