Cup · 03 Nov 2026

Mladost Ždralovi vs NK Slaven BelupoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
10%
Draw
45%
Away win
45%
Equal top estimates: Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 03 Nov 2026 00:16 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 02 Nov 2026 20:38 UTC; synced 03 Nov 2026 00:16 UTC. Saved 03 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
4.2
Without margin
21.29%
Provider estimate
10.00%
Provider − market
-11.29 pp

Draw

Decimal odds
3.65
Without margin
24.50%
Provider estimate
45.00%
Provider − market
+20.50 pp

Away win

Decimal odds
1.65
Without margin
54.20%
Provider estimate
45.00%
Provider − market
-9.20 pp

Raw implied probability total: 111.81%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Mladost Ždralovi

WWLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
6 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Mladost Ždralovi scored 6 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Mladost Ždralovi 1–0 Jadran LPFirst NL · UTC
  2. Mladost Ždralovi 2–1 HNK CibaliaFirst NL · UTC
  3. Mladost Ždralovi 1–3 Segesta SisakFirst NL · UTC
  4. Mladost Ždralovi 1–0 Karlovac 1919First NL · UTC
  5. Mladost Ždralovi 1–0 SesveteFirst NL · UTC

Away matches

NK Slaven Belupo

WLDLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

NK Slaven Belupo scored 10 and conceded 6 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. NK Varazdin 1–2 NK Slaven BelupoHNL · UTC
  2. Olimpija Ljubljana 2–1 NK Slaven BelupoFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Rudes 2–2 NK Slaven BelupoHNL · UTC
  4. HNK Hajduk Split 1–0 NK Slaven BelupoHNL · UTC
  5. Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0–5 NK Slaven BelupoCup · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Mladost Ždralovi

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

NK Slaven Belupo

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.95 / 2.66
xG per match, for / against
0.98 / 0.89
Goals on this same sample
4 / 4

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. NK Varazdin vs NK Slaven Belupo xG for / against NK Slaven Belupo: 0.60 / 1.50 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 22:55 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 22:55 UTC.
  2. Rudes vs NK Slaven Belupo xG for / against NK Slaven Belupo: 1.99 / 0.48 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 18:19 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 18:19 UTC.
  3. HNK Hajduk Split vs NK Slaven Belupo xG for / against NK Slaven Belupo: 0.36 / 0.68 Statistics synced: team 29 Sep 2026 08:09 UTC; opponent 29 Sep 2026 08:09 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Mladost Ždralovi

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

NK Slaven Belupo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Mladost Ždralovi

4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

NK Slaven Belupo

3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Mladost Ždralovi 3–1 NK Slaven BelupoFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 03 Nov 2026 00:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1639312
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
d7ee895de0d89b901905091a4ec07ed02ad53b642e3e7513b2a0ec6c757e2171