KNVB Beker · 29 Oct 2026

Groningen vs EmmenMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 30 Oct 2026 03:10 UTC. Source synced 29 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Groningen

LWDLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Groningen scored 11 and conceded 11 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Groningen 2–5 AjaxEredivisie · UTC
  2. Groningen 3–0 PEC ZwolleEredivisie · UTC
  3. Groningen 2–2 TwenteEredivisie · UTC
  4. Groningen 2–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie · UTC
  5. Groningen 2–1 UtrechtEredivisie · UTC

Away matches

Emmen

WWDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Emmen scored 7 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Vitesse 0–2 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC
  2. Dordrecht 0–3 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC
  3. Waalwijk 1–1 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC
  4. FC Eindhoven 3–1 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC
  5. VVV Venlo 4–0 EmmenEerste Divisie · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Groningen

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.70 / 6.62
xG per match, for / against
1.67 / 1.66
Goals on this same sample
9 / 9

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Groningen vs Ajax xG for / against Groningen: 2.29 / 3.04 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 19:24 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 19:24 UTC.
  2. Groningen vs PEC Zwolle xG for / against Groningen: 1.39 / 0.43 Statistics synced: team 02 Oct 2026 18:26 UTC; opponent 02 Oct 2026 18:26 UTC.
  3. Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard xG for / against Groningen: 1.47 / 0.88 Statistics synced: team 28 Aug 2026 20:21 UTC; opponent 28 Aug 2026 20:21 UTC.
  4. Groningen vs Utrecht xG for / against Groningen: 1.55 / 2.27 Statistics synced: team 10 Aug 2026 14:22 UTC; opponent 10 Aug 2026 14:22 UTC.

Away matches

Emmen

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
8.59 / 6.12
xG per match, for / against
2.15 / 1.53
Goals on this same sample
6 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Vitesse vs Emmen xG for / against Emmen: 3.20 / 1.70 Statistics synced: team 28 Oct 2026 05:34 UTC; opponent 28 Oct 2026 05:34 UTC.
  2. Dordrecht vs Emmen xG for / against Emmen: 1.25 / 1.05 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 19:44 UTC.
  3. Waalwijk vs Emmen xG for / against Emmen: 1.77 / 1.09 Statistics synced: team 13 Oct 2026 07:46 UTC; opponent 13 Oct 2026 07:46 UTC.
  4. VVV Venlo vs Emmen xG for / against Emmen: 2.37 / 2.28 Statistics synced: team 30 Aug 2026 16:52 UTC; opponent 30 Aug 2026 16:52 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Groningen

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Emmen

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Groningen

4.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 13:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Emmen

6.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 23 Oct 2026 18:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 29 Oct 2026 00:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1641972
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
ccefada00cfa144f7aee1a1e55bf920ca8130b06bc65961a1715fb9c48546dc4