Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Source status: PEN· no confirmed regulation-time result
Result record v1 · recorded 29 Oct 2026 03:31 UTC. Source synced 28 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Sparta Rotterdam
LWLDD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
9 / 13
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Sparta Rotterdam scored 9 and conceded 13 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Sparta Rotterdam 1–2 AjaxEredivisie · UTC
Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 Willem IIEredivisie · UTC
Sparta Rotterdam 0–4 HeerenveenEredivisie · UTC
Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 PEC ZwolleEredivisie · UTC
Sparta Rotterdam 3–3 UtrechtEredivisie · UTC
Away matches
Fortuna Sittard
DWWWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Fortuna Sittard scored 11 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
NEC Nijmegen 2–2 Fortuna SittardEredivisie · UTC
Genk 1–2 Fortuna SittardFriendlies Clubs · UTC
Willem II 0–1 Fortuna SittardEredivisie · UTC
ADO Den Haag 2–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie · UTC
Groningen 2–3 Fortuna SittardEredivisie · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Sparta Rotterdam
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.17 / 4.80
xG per match, for / against
1.72 / 1.60
Goals on this same sample
4 / 8
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Sparta Rotterdam vs AjaxxG for / against Sparta Rotterdam: 0.85 / 1.37
Statistics synced: team 26 Oct 2026 16:05 UTC; opponent 26 Oct 2026 16:05 UTC.
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem IIxG for / against Sparta Rotterdam: 3.65 / 1.63
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 09:45 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 09:45 UTC.
Sparta Rotterdam vs HeerenveenxG for / against Sparta Rotterdam: 0.67 / 1.80
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 07:25 UTC.
Away matches
Fortuna Sittard
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.64 / 5.54
xG per match, for / against
0.88 / 1.85
Goals on this same sample
6 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
NEC Nijmegen vs Fortuna SittardxG for / against Fortuna Sittard: 0.45 / 3.06
Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 21:26 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 21:26 UTC.
Willem II vs Fortuna SittardxG for / against Fortuna Sittard: 1.31 / 1.01
Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 10:35 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 10:35 UTC.
Groningen vs Fortuna SittardxG for / against Fortuna Sittard: 0.88 / 1.47
Statistics synced: team 28 Aug 2026 20:21 UTC; opponent 28 Aug 2026 20:21 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Sparta Rotterdam
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Fortuna Sittard
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 15:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
League position and points: N/A.
Fortuna Sittard
3.3 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 11:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
League position and points: N/A.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 28 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.