Copa del Rey · 28 Oct 2026

Portugalete vs Real UniónMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Source status: NS · no confirmed regulation-time result

Result record v1 · recorded 29 Oct 2026 04:41 UTC. Source synced 28 Oct 2026 19:14 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
33%
Draw
33%
Away win
33%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw / Away

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 28 Oct 2026 01:15 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Portugalete

DLWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
4 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Portugalete scored 4 and conceded 3 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Portugalete 0–0 Eibar IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  2. Portugalete 0–2 Deportivo Alavés IISegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  3. Portugalete 2–1 CoruxoSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  4. Portugalete 0–0 CompostelaSegunda División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  5. Portugalete 2–0 BarakaldoFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Away matches

Real Unión

DDLLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Real Unión scored 8 and conceded 9 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Extremadura 1924 2–2 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  2. Athletic Club II 0–0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  3. Deportivo La Coruña II 2–0 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  4. Racing Ferrol 3–2 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC
  5. Unionistas de Salamanca 2–4 Real UniónPrimera División RFEF - Group 1 · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Portugalete

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Real Unión

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Portugalete

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Real Unión

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Portugalete

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Real Unión

5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 23 Oct 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 28 Oct 2026 01:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1644369
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
f0529a20e6d493f6fc9c3cab2638fce052f061c010e11e555b6de958f48b75dc