FA Cup · 17 Oct 2026

Chesham United vs Forest GreenMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–0 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 17 Oct 2026 18:30 UTC. Source synced 17 Oct 2026 18:29 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Chesham United

LWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 16
Over 2.5 frequency
5/5 100%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Chesham United scored 12 and conceded 16 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Chesham United 0–5 Chelmsford CityNational League - South · UTC
  2. Chesham United 4–3 Real BedfordFA Cup · UTC
  3. Chesham United 0–4 MaidenheadNational League - South · UTC
  4. Chesham United 7–2 WareFA Cup · UTC
  5. Chesham United 1–2 Billericay TownNational League - South · UTC

Away matches

Forest Green

DDWLW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Forest Green scored 7 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Sutton Utd 3–3 Forest GreenNational League · UTC
  2. Carlisle 1–1 Forest GreenNational League · UTC
  3. AFC Hornchurch 0–1 Forest GreenNational League · UTC
  4. AFC Fylde 2–0 Forest GreenNational League · UTC
  5. Worthing 1–2 Forest GreenNational League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Chesham United

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Forest Green

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Chesham United

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Forest Green

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Chesham United

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Forest Green

6.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 16:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 04:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1644474
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
8f51dbd085b9a9be95d5af61c9ea0735b7868ce4ab63f03e971b9cadb7ef754d