FA Cup · 17 Oct 2026

Macclesfield vs Anstey NomadsMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 1–1 · regulation time

Result record v2 · recorded 18 Oct 2026 08:40 UTC. Source synced 17 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Result changes (1)
  1. v1 · TBD Initial source observation · 17 Oct 2026 18:41 UTC Source synced 17 Oct 2026 18:39 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC
  2. v2 · FT · 1–1 Source status, score or kickoff changed · 18 Oct 2026 08:40 UTC Source synced 17 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC · source kickoff 17 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Macclesfield

WDWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Macclesfield scored 10 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Macclesfield 4–3 South ShieldsNational League - North · UTC
  2. Macclesfield 2–2 Scarborough AthleticFA Cup · UTC
  3. Macclesfield 1–0 Harborough TownNational League - North · UTC
  4. Macclesfield 0–0 Scarborough AthleticNational League - North · UTC
  5. Macclesfield 3–0 Hebburn TownNational League - North · UTC

Away matches

Anstey Nomads

DWLWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Anstey Nomads scored 11 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Needham Market 1–1 Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central · UTC
  2. Gainsborough Trinity 2–3 Anstey NomadsFA Cup · UTC
  3. Kettering Town 4–1 Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central · UTC
  4. Ilkeston Town 1–3 Anstey NomadsFA Trophy · UTC
  5. Racing Club Warwick 2–3 Anstey NomadsNon League Premier - Southern Central · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Macclesfield

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Anstey Nomads

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Macclesfield

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Anstey Nomads

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Macclesfield

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Anstey Nomads

3.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 13 Oct 2026 18:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 17 Oct 2026 04:41 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1645118
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
829c53782818bf2f51f88bfb8388b1d4b7def281b8cdb88e0342f29f71ba3807