Cup · 28 Oct 2026

Sparta Praha vs Baník OstravaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 0–2 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 29 Oct 2026 05:00 UTC. Source synced 28 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Sparta Praha

WDWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
15 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Sparta Praha scored 15 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Sparta Praha 5–1 SlováckoCzech Liga · UTC
  2. Sparta Praha 1–1 LillestromUEFA Europa League · UTC
  3. Sparta Praha 2–0 PardubiceCzech Liga · UTC
  4. Sparta Praha 5–3 Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  5. Sparta Praha 2–0 FK JablonecCzech Liga · UTC

Away matches

Baník Ostrava

LDDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
3 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Baník Ostrava scored 3 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Bohemians 1905 1–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga · UTC
  2. GKS Katowice 1–1 Baník OstravaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
  3. Slovácko 2–2 Baník OstravaCzech Liga · UTC
  4. FK Jablonec 3–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga · UTC
  5. Mlada Boleslav 4–0 Baník OstravaCzech Liga · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Sparta Praha

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
5.39 / 3.05
xG per match, for / against
1.80 / 1.02
Goals on this same sample
8 / 2

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Sparta Praha vs Slovácko xG for / against Sparta Praha: 1.91 / 1.15 Statistics synced: team 26 Oct 2026 14:34 UTC; opponent 26 Oct 2026 14:34 UTC.
  2. Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom xG for / against Sparta Praha: 1.12 / 0.84 Statistics synced: team 22 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC; opponent 22 Oct 2026 16:55 UTC.
  3. Sparta Praha vs Pardubice xG for / against Sparta Praha: 2.36 / 1.06 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 17:55 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 17:55 UTC.

Away matches

Baník Ostrava

Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.45 / 4.28
xG per match, for / against
1.73 / 2.14
Goals on this same sample
2 / 3

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava xG for / against Baník Ostrava: 0.73 / 2.51 Statistics synced: team 20 Oct 2026 06:24 UTC; opponent 20 Oct 2026 06:24 UTC.
  2. Slovácko vs Baník Ostrava xG for / against Baník Ostrava: 2.72 / 1.77 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 06:05 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 06:05 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Sparta Praha

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Baník Ostrava

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Sparta Praha

3.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 25 Oct 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Baník Ostrava

10.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 18 Oct 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 28 Oct 2026 01:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1645413
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
c3f3915569503a0272fce0d3ebd7a0a265ebc10e681f5ffce18021b6a726d8cc