Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.
Recorded match result
Result pending — kickoff has not passed.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Derry City
WWWWD
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Derry City scored 11 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Derry City 2–1 DundalkPremier Division · UTC
Derry City 1–0 St Patrick's Athl.Premier Division · UTC
Derry City 1–0 Galway UnitedPremier Division · UTC
Derry City 4–2 DundalkFAI Cup · UTC
Derry City 3–3 Shamrock RoversPremier Division · UTC
Away matches
Waterford
WLWLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Waterford scored 10 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Shelbourne 2–3 WaterfordPremier Division · UTC
Bohemians 2–1 WaterfordPremier Division · UTC
Bohemians 0–2 WaterfordFAI Cup · UTC
Shamrock Rovers 3–2 WaterfordPremier Division · UTC
St Patrick's Athl. 0–2 WaterfordPremier Division · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Derry City
Paired xG coverage: 2 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
2.46 / 3.43
xG per match, for / against
1.23 / 1.71
Goals on this same sample
3 / 1
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Derry City vs DundalkxG for / against Derry City: 1.76 / 0.82
Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 20:15 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 20:15 UTC.
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.xG for / against Derry City: 0.70 / 2.61
Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 06:05 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 06:05 UTC.
Away matches
Waterford
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
4.74 / 2.68
xG per match, for / against
1.58 / 0.89
Goals on this same sample
6 / 4
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Shelbourne vs WaterfordxG for / against Waterford: 1.79 / 1.41
Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 20:56 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 20:56 UTC.
Bohemians vs WaterfordxG for / against Waterford: 1.28 / 0.56
Statistics synced: team 30 Oct 2026 21:15 UTC; opponent 30 Oct 2026 21:15 UTC.
St Patrick's Athl. vs WaterfordxG for / against Waterford: 1.67 / 0.71
Statistics synced: team 28 Aug 2026 20:43 UTC; opponent 28 Aug 2026 20:43 UTC.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Derry City
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Waterford
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Derry City
8.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
League position and points: N/A.
Waterford
8.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 30 Oct 2026 19:45 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
League position and points: N/A.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 08 Nov 2026 03:20 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.