Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.
Recorded match result
Full time: 2–0· regulation time
Result record v1 · recorded 14 Oct 2026 23:00 UTC. Source synced 14 Oct 2026 22:59 UTC.
Saved forecast evaluation
Brier score: 0.667· lower is better (0–2)
Observed outcome: Home win.
Equal top estimates — no single most likely outcome; excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Calculated from the original Provider model probabilities and result record v1. Later result corrections can change this evaluation; the original probabilities stay unchanged. This score does not measure betting profit.
Provider rounding was adjusted for scoring only by dividing each probability by their total. Displayed and stored percentages remain unchanged.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
33%
Draw
33%
Away win
33%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw / Away
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
Provider record synced 14 Oct 2026 00:29 UTC. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Al-Ettifaq
DDLLW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 9
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Al-Ettifaq scored 7 and conceded 9 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Al-Ettifaq 1–1 Al Khaleej SaihatPro League · UTC
Al-Ettifaq 0–0 Al-Faisaly FCPro League · UTC
Al-Ettifaq 0–3 Al DiriyahPro League · UTC
Al-Ettifaq 2–3 Al-NassrPro League · UTC
Al-Ettifaq 4–2 Al RiyadhPro League · UTC
Away matches
Kazma
WDWDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%
Kazma scored 8 and conceded 5 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Al Shabab 2–3 KazmaPremier League · UTC
Al Kuwait 0–0 KazmaPremier League · UTC
Al Qadsia 1–2 KazmaPremier League · UTC
Al Fahaheel 1–1 KazmaPremier League · UTC
Al Nasar 1–2 KazmaPremier League · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Al-Ettifaq
Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.
xG for / against
5.07 / 5.32
xG per match, for / against
1.69 / 1.77
Goals on this same sample
7 / 6
Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.
Inspect the xG sample
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Khaleej SaihatxG for / against Al-Ettifaq: 1.68 / 2.69
Statistics synced: team 12 Oct 2026 05:16 UTC; opponent 12 Oct 2026 05:16 UTC.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al-NassrxG for / against Al-Ettifaq: 0.72 / 2.00
Statistics synced: team 25 Aug 2026 20:18 UTC; opponent 25 Aug 2026 20:18 UTC.
Al-Ettifaq vs Al RiyadhxG for / against Al-Ettifaq: 2.67 / 0.63
Statistics synced: team 15 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC; opponent 15 Aug 2026 02:18 UTC.
Away matches
Kazma
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Al-Ettifaq
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Kazma
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Al-Ettifaq
4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 10 Oct 2026 14:55 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
League position and points: N/A.
Kazma
5 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 09 Oct 2026 17:05 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
League position and points: N/A.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 14 Oct 2026 00:30 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.