Primera División · 24 Oct 2026

Defensor Sporting vs Racing MontevideoMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Full time: 3–3 · regulation time

Result record v1 · recorded 25 Oct 2026 12:01 UTC. Source synced 24 Oct 2026 23:59 UTC.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — complete saved probabilities are unavailable.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Defensor Sporting

LLWWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Defensor Sporting scored 5 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Defensor Sporting 2–3 CerroPrimera División · UTC
  2. Defensor Sporting 0–1 Plaza ColoniaCopa Uruguay · UTC
  3. Defensor Sporting 1–0 DanubioPrimera División · UTC
  4. Defensor Sporting 1–0 Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División · UTC
  5. Defensor Sporting 1–3 Atletico TorquePrimera División · UTC

Away matches

Racing Montevideo

LLDLL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
1 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
1/5 20%

Racing Montevideo scored 1 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 1 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Juventud 2–0 Racing MontevideoPrimera División · UTC
  2. Progreso 2–1 Racing MontevideoPrimera División · UTC
  3. Liverpool Montevideo 0–0 Racing MontevideoPrimera División · UTC
  4. Juventud 3–0 Racing MontevideoCopa Uruguay · UTC
  5. Cerro 1–0 Racing MontevideoPrimera División · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Defensor Sporting

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Racing Montevideo

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Defensor Sporting

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Racing Montevideo

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Defensor Sporting

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 19:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 13
Points / played
35 / 33

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Promedios
Position 8
Points / played
96 / 70

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 7
Points / played
6 / 7

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Apertura
Position 8
Points / played
21 / 15

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Clausura
Position 14
Points / played
8 / 11

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Racing Montevideo

7.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 17 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 5
Points / played
56 / 33

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Promedios
Position 5
Points / played
109 / 70

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 3
Points / played
10 / 7

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Apertura
Position 1
Points / played
31 / 15

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Primera: Clausura
Position 9
Points / played
15 / 11

Table source synced 24 Oct 2026 06:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 24 Oct 2026 06:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1646027
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
21a44be1f1ffc176caaa1d629dcfffa493d319060301ed47e0131f015ec16c57