FA Cup · 07 Nov 2026

Crewe vs AFC WimbledonMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Crewe

DWWWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
12 / 6
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
5/5 100%

Crewe scored 12 and conceded 6 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Crewe 1–1 BarnetLeague Two · UTC
  2. Crewe 3–2 RochdaleLeague Two · UTC
  3. Crewe 3–1 Bristol RoversLeague Two · UTC
  4. Crewe 4–1 Aston Villa U21EFL Trophy · UTC
  5. Crewe 1–1 ShrewsburyLeague Two · UTC

Away matches

AFC Wimbledon

LLLDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 10
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

AFC Wimbledon scored 5 and conceded 10 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Stockport County 2–1 AFC WimbledonLeague One · UTC
  2. Sheffield Wednesday 5–0 AFC WimbledonLeague One · UTC
  3. Plymouth 2–1 AFC WimbledonLeague One · UTC
  4. Cambridge United 1–1 AFC WimbledonLeague One · UTC
  5. Bromley 0–2 AFC WimbledonLeague One · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Crewe

Paired xG coverage: 4 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
6.22 / 7.38
xG per match, for / against
1.56 / 1.85
Goals on this same sample
8 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Crewe vs Barnet xG for / against Crewe: 1.30 / 0.68 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 16:05 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 16:05 UTC.
  2. Crewe vs Rochdale xG for / against Crewe: 2.00 / 1.67 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 05:06 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 05:06 UTC.
  3. Crewe vs Bristol Rovers xG for / against Crewe: 1.31 / 1.93 Statistics synced: team 13 Oct 2026 04:35 UTC; opponent 13 Oct 2026 04:35 UTC.
  4. Crewe vs Shrewsbury xG for / against Crewe: 1.61 / 3.10 Statistics synced: team 05 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC; opponent 05 Oct 2026 00:44 UTC.

Away matches

AFC Wimbledon

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
2.36 / 7.17
xG per match, for / against
0.79 / 2.39
Goals on this same sample
2 / 9

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon xG for / against AFC Wimbledon: 1.01 / 2.85 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 16:14 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 16:14 UTC.
  2. Sheffield Wednesday vs AFC Wimbledon xG for / against AFC Wimbledon: 0.37 / 2.60 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 05:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 05:15 UTC.
  3. Plymouth vs AFC Wimbledon xG for / against AFC Wimbledon: 0.98 / 1.72 Statistics synced: team 19 Oct 2026 22:46 UTC; opponent 19 Oct 2026 22:46 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Crewe

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

AFC Wimbledon

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Crewe

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

AFC Wimbledon

7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 15:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 07 Nov 2026 03:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1646799
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
b50baa1426ecdcf066f2468999fb10b0eb75e56296327eae0c3413a80d230cd8