K League 1 · 08 Nov 2026

Gangwon FC vs Jeonbuk MotorsMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
45%
Draw
45%
Away win
10%
Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 08 Nov 2026 00:17 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Marathonbet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 07 Nov 2026 20:19 UTC; synced 08 Nov 2026 00:17 UTC. Saved 08 Nov 2026 00:21 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds
2.32
Without margin
40.08%
Provider estimate
45.00%
Provider − market
+4.92 pp

Draw

Decimal odds
3.16
Without margin
29.43%
Provider estimate
45.00%
Provider − market
+15.57 pp

Away win

Decimal odds
3.05
Without margin
30.49%
Provider estimate
10.00%
Provider − market
-20.49 pp

Raw implied probability total: 107.54%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Gangwon FC

WDLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%

Gangwon FC scored 5 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Gangwon FC 1–0 Kuching FAAFC Champions League Two · UTC
  2. Gangwon FC 1–1 Incheon UnitedK League 1 · UTC
  3. Gangwon FC 1–2 Phnom Penh CrownAFC Champions League Two · UTC
  4. Gangwon FC 2–0 Bucheon FC 1995K League 1 · UTC
  5. Gangwon FC 0–1 Jeju United FCK League 1 · UTC

Away matches

Jeonbuk Motors

DDLLD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 8
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Jeonbuk Motors scored 5 and conceded 8 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Beijing Guoan 2–2 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League Elite · UTC
  2. FC Anyang 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 · UTC
  3. Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League Elite · UTC
  4. Daejeon Citizen 2–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 · UTC
  5. Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Gangwon FC

Paired xG coverage: 1 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
1.74 / 0.79
xG per match, for / against
1.74 / 0.79
Goals on this same sample
2 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Gangwon FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 xG for / against Gangwon FC: 1.74 / 0.79 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 07:35 UTC.

Away matches

Jeonbuk Motors

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
3.40 / 5.23
xG per match, for / against
1.13 / 1.74
Goals on this same sample
3 / 6

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Beijing Guoan vs Jeonbuk Motors xG for / against Jeonbuk Motors: 0.73 / 1.55 Statistics synced: team 04 Nov 2026 11:34 UTC; opponent 04 Nov 2026 11:34 UTC.
  2. Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors xG for / against Jeonbuk Motors: 1.77 / 1.26 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC.
  3. Daejeon Citizen vs Jeonbuk Motors xG for / against Jeonbuk Motors: 0.90 / 2.42 Statistics synced: team 23 Oct 2026 05:05 UTC; opponent 23 Oct 2026 05:05 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Gangwon FC

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Jeonbuk Motors

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Gangwon FC

2.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 05 Nov 2026 12:15 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

K-League: Regular season
Position 5
Points / played
48 / 33

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 23:21 UTC.

K-League: Championship Group
Position 6
Points / played
48 / 34

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 23:21 UTC.

Jeonbuk Motors

4.9 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 03 Nov 2026 10:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

K-League: Regular season
Position 4
Points / played
48 / 33

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 23:21 UTC.

K-League: Championship Group
Position 5
Points / played
49 / 34

Table source synced 07 Nov 2026 23:21 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 · UTC
  2. Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 Gangwon FCK League 1 · UTC
  3. Gangwon FC 1–1 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 · UTC
  4. Gangwon FC 0–0 Jeonbuk MotorsK League 1 · UTC
  5. Gangwon FC 1–2 Jeonbuk MotorsFA Cup · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 08 Nov 2026 00:21 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1647380
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
9812974e574a5841b1cb07e5038364d8d9e46c4412499abe6b6e9428ebfd7f78