J-League Cup · 11 Nov 2026

Vissel Kobe vs Machida ZelviaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Vissel Kobe

DWWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
10 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%

Vissel Kobe scored 10 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Vissel Kobe 2–2 UrawaJ1 League · UTC
  2. Vissel Kobe 3–2 RatchaburiAFC Champions League Elite · UTC
  3. Vissel Kobe 3–1 Nagoya GrampusJ1 League · UTC
  4. Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League · UTC
  5. Vissel Kobe 2–0 Jeonbuk MotorsAFC Champions League Elite · UTC

Away matches

Machida Zelvia

WDWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 0
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
0/5 0%

Machida Zelvia scored 8 and conceded 0 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 0 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Shanghai Shenhua 0–1 Machida ZelviaAFC Champions League Two · UTC
  2. Vissel Kobe 0–0 Machida ZelviaJ1 League · UTC
  3. Shimizu S-pulse 0–5 Machida ZelviaJ1 League · UTC
  4. Tampines Rovers 0–1 Machida ZelviaAFC Champions League Two · UTC
  5. Kyoto Sanga 0–1 Machida ZelviaJ1 League · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Vissel Kobe

Paired xG coverage: 5 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
8.64 / 7.35
xG per match, for / against
1.73 / 1.47
Goals on this same sample
10 / 5

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Vissel Kobe vs Urawa xG for / against Vissel Kobe: 1.72 / 1.86 Statistics synced: team 09 Nov 2026 13:20 UTC; opponent 09 Nov 2026 13:20 UTC.
  2. Vissel Kobe vs Ratchaburi xG for / against Vissel Kobe: 2.58 / 0.63 Statistics synced: team 06 Nov 2026 10:06 UTC; opponent 06 Nov 2026 10:06 UTC.
  3. Vissel Kobe vs Nagoya Grampus xG for / against Vissel Kobe: 1.75 / 1.09 Statistics synced: team 07 Nov 2026 06:15 UTC; opponent 07 Nov 2026 06:15 UTC.
  4. Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia xG for / against Vissel Kobe: 1.33 / 2.00 Statistics synced: team 07 Nov 2026 06:15 UTC; opponent 07 Nov 2026 06:15 UTC.
  5. Vissel Kobe vs Jeonbuk Motors xG for / against Vissel Kobe: 1.26 / 1.77 Statistics synced: team 29 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC; opponent 29 Oct 2026 07:05 UTC.

Away matches

Machida Zelvia

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against
7.30 / 3.31
xG per match, for / against
2.43 / 1.10
Goals on this same sample
6 / 0

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample
  1. Vissel Kobe vs Machida Zelvia xG for / against Machida Zelvia: 2.00 / 1.33 Statistics synced: team 07 Nov 2026 06:15 UTC; opponent 07 Nov 2026 06:15 UTC.
  2. Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia xG for / against Machida Zelvia: 3.87 / 0.21 Statistics synced: team 05 Nov 2026 01:36 UTC; opponent 05 Nov 2026 01:36 UTC.
  3. Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia xG for / against Machida Zelvia: 1.43 / 1.77 Statistics synced: team 19 Oct 2026 21:25 UTC; opponent 19 Oct 2026 21:25 UTC.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Vissel Kobe

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Machida Zelvia

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Vissel Kobe

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 08 Nov 2026 05:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Machida Zelvia

3.2 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 08 Nov 2026 05:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 11 Nov 2026 00:10 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1648031
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
90869f55120fe8955183392175c00672a4c378fdf1485152cfe399ce3a513a63