Primera División · 14 Nov 2026

Deportivo Maldonado vs CerroMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: .

Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.

Recorded match result

Result pending — kickoff has not passed.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Deportivo Maldonado

LWWDW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
11 / 5
Over 2.5 frequency
4/5 80%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Deportivo Maldonado scored 11 and conceded 5 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Deportivo Maldonado 1–2 Club NacionalCopa Uruguay · UTC
  2. Deportivo Maldonado 2–1 DanubioPrimera División · UTC
  3. Deportivo Maldonado 4–1 Albion FCCopa Uruguay · UTC
  4. Deportivo Maldonado 1–1 Liverpool MontevideoPrimera División · UTC
  5. Deportivo Maldonado 3–0 Central EspanolPrimera División · UTC

Away matches

Cerro

LWDWD

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
8 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
3/5 60%
BTTS frequency
4/5 80%

Cerro scored 8 and conceded 7 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 4 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures
  1. Atletico Torque 3–1 CerroPrimera División · UTC
  2. Defensor Sporting 2–3 CerroPrimera División · UTC
  3. Juventud 0–0 CerroPrimera División · UTC
  4. Progreso 1–3 CerroPrimera División · UTC
  5. Wanderers 1–1 CerroCopa Uruguay · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Deportivo Maldonado

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Away matches

Cerro

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Deportivo Maldonado

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Cerro

Reported absences

  • Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Deportivo Maldonado

4.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 10 Nov 2026 00:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 3
Points / played
63 / 35

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Promedios
Position 3
Points / played
63 / 35

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 3
Points / played
12 / 7

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Apertura
Position 2
Points / played
29 / 15

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Clausura
Position 4
Points / played
22 / 13

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Cerro

14.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 16:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 14
Points / played
37 / 35

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Promedios
Position 13
Points / played
83 / 72

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 6
Points / played
9 / 7

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Apertura
Position 16
Points / played
10 / 15

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Primera: Clausura
Position 9
Points / played
18 / 13

Table source synced 14 Nov 2026 03:17 UTC.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

  1. No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 14 Nov 2026 03:50 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record
Fixture ID
1649059
Method
factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum
c7b31958ac6d30de550bf7e27ae79e9112e178885d72d07f79e5b4ae9a7985cc