Published . This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. It is not a live feed.
Recorded match result
Result pending — kickoff has not passed.
Saved forecast evaluation
Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.
Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.
Provider model
Estimates saved at publication
Home win
N/A
Draw
N/A
Away win
N/A
Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.
A complete, recent probability distribution was not available at publication. Confidence: N/A.
Pre-match 1X2 snapshot
Odds saved at publication
Saved odds: N/A. No complete, verified 1X2 market from the previous 24 hours was available at publication.
No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.
Observed results · not forecast probabilities
Form & goals
Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.
Home matches
Defensor Sporting
DLLWW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
7 / 7
Over 2.5 frequency
2/5 40%
BTTS frequency
2/5 40%
Defensor Sporting scored 7 and conceded 7 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 2 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Defensor Sporting 3–3 Racing MontevideoPrimera División · UTC
Defensor Sporting 2–3 CerroPrimera División · UTC
Defensor Sporting 0–1 Plaza ColoniaCopa Uruguay · UTC
Defensor Sporting 1–0 DanubioPrimera División · UTC
Defensor Sporting 1–0 Deportivo MaldonadoPrimera División · UTC
Away matches
Penarol
DWDDW
Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss
Sample size
5 matches
Goals scored / conceded
5 / 3
Over 2.5 frequency
1/5 20%
BTTS frequency
3/5 60%
Penarol scored 5 and conceded 3 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.
Inspect the matches behind these figures
Juventud 0–0 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
Racing Montevideo 0–1 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
Atletico Torque 1–1 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
Danubio 1–1 PenarolCopa Uruguay · UTC
Cerro 1–2 PenarolPrimera División · UTC
The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.
Historical shot-quality estimates
Expected goals (xG)
Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.
Home matches
Defensor Sporting
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Away matches
Penarol
Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.
xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.
Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.
Provider-reported team news
Absences & lineups
Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.
Defensor Sporting
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Penarol
Reported absences
Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.
Provider-reported lineup
Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.
Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.
Verifiable context
Table & schedule
Defensor Sporting
14.4 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 01 Nov 2026 13:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 12
Points / played
39 / 35
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Promedios
Position 8
Points / played
100 / 72
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 7
Points / played
6 / 7
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Apertura
Position 8
Points / played
21 / 15
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Clausura
Position 13
Points / played
12 / 13
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Penarol
15.1 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.
Previous kickoff: 31 Oct 2026 19:30 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.
Primera: Tabla Anual
Position 1
Points / played
65 / 35
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Promedios
Position 1
Points / played
144 / 72
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Torneo Intermedio
Position 1
Points / played
16 / 7
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Apertura
Position 4
Points / played
27 / 15
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Primera: Clausura
Position 4
Points / played
22 / 13
Table source synced 15 Nov 2026 02:19 UTC.
Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.
Head-to-head
Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.
No eligible head-to-head records were supplied.
Sources & limitations
Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 15 Nov 2026 03:01 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.
Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.