Friendlies Clubs · 13 Nov 2026

Mlada Boleslav vs Vysočina JihlavaMatch analysis

Scheduled kickoff: 13 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC.

Published 13 Nov 2026 · 00:11 UTC. This saved pre-match analysis is preserved as published. Kickoff has passed; recorded results and forecast evaluation appear separately below.

Recorded match result

Awaiting confirmed result.

Saved forecast evaluation

Forecast evaluation: N/A — no confirmed regulation-time result.

Observed from the sports database separately from the original pre-match publication. Extra-time, shootout and awarded results are not treated as confirmed regulation-time scores. This is not a betting settlement.

Provider model

Estimates saved at publication

Home win: 45%
Draw: 45%
Away win: 10%

Equal top estimates: Home / Draw

Regulation-time 1X2 estimates. No betting selection was published from this distribution; this analysis does not contribute to wins, losses or ROI. Saved probabilities are evaluated on Performance; equal top estimates have no single most likely outcome and are excluded from highest-probability accuracy.

Provider record synced 13 Nov 2026 00:07 UTC. Confidence: N/A.

Pre-match 1X2 snapshot

Odds saved at publication

1xBet · Match Winner · decimal odds.

Source updated 12 Nov 2026 20:04 UTC; synced 13 Nov 2026 00:07 UTC. Saved 13 Nov 2026 00:11 UTC. These are historical quotes, not currently available prices.

Home win

Decimal odds: 1.24
Without margin: 72.60%
Provider estimate: 45.00%
Provider − market: -27.60 pp

Draw

Decimal odds: 5.44
Without margin: 16.55%
Provider estimate: 45.00%
Provider − market: +28.45 pp

Away win

Decimal odds: 8.3
Without margin: 10.85%
Provider estimate: 10.00%
Provider − market: -0.85 pp

Raw implied probability total: 111.08%. Each margin-adjusted value is (1 ÷ odds) divided by the sum for all three outcomes. This proportional adjustment is a comparison baseline, not a verified true probability.

The bookmaker is selected by the lowest provider ID with a complete valid market, independently of price or the Provider model. Percentage-point differences are descriptive; they do not establish an edge, expected profit or a betting recommendation.

No odds movement is inferred from a single snapshot. Saved prices do not create a betting selection or an ROI record.

Observed results · not forecast probabilities

Form & goals

Up to five completed matches at the relevant venue in the previous year, across all competitions. Only FT results are included; extra-time and penalty-shootout matches are excluded.

Home matches

Mlada Boleslav

WWWWW

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size: 5 matches
Goals scored / conceded: 12 / 4
Over 2.5 frequency: 3/5 60%
BTTS frequency: 3/5 60%

Mlada Boleslav scored 12 and conceded 4 across these 5 home matches. Both teams scored in 3 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures

01 Nov 2026Mlada Boleslav 3–1 Hradec KrálovéCzech Liga · UTC
28 Oct 2026Mlada Boleslav 3–2 Bohemians 1905Cup · UTC
17 Oct 2026Mlada Boleslav 1–0 TepliceCzech Liga · UTC
02 Oct 2026Mlada Boleslav 3–1 PříbramFriendlies Clubs · UTC
19 Sep 2026Mlada Boleslav 2–0 Zbrojovka BrnoCzech Liga · UTC

Away matches

Vysočina Jihlava

WWLWL

Newest first · W win, D draw, L loss

Sample size: 5 matches
Goals scored / conceded: 12 / 11
Over 2.5 frequency: 5/5 100%
BTTS frequency: 5/5 100%

Vysočina Jihlava scored 12 and conceded 11 across these 5 away matches. Both teams scored in 5 of them.

Inspect the matches behind these figures

02 Nov 2026Baník Ostrava II 1–3 Vysočina JihlavaFNL · UTC
16 Oct 2026Opava 1–3 Vysočina JihlavaFNL · UTC
02 Oct 2026Sparta Praha 5–3 Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
11 Sep 2026Ústí nad Labem 1–2 Vysočina JihlavaFNL · UTC
28 Aug 2026Dukla Praha 3–1 Vysočina JihlavaFNL · UTC

The samples may differ in strength of opposition and size. Historical frequencies describe these matches; they are not Over 2.5 or BTTS predictions.

Historical shot-quality estimates

Expected goals (xG)

Provider-supplied xG for the same recent home and away matches shown above. This describes past chances, not the expected score of the upcoming match.

Home matches

Mlada Boleslav

Paired xG coverage: 3 of 5 form matches.

xG for / against: 4.52 / 5.21
xG per match, for / against: 1.51 / 1.74
Goals on this same sample: 6 / 1

Only matches with valid xG for both teams count. This small sample may not represent the full form sample; it does not establish luck or future performance.

Inspect the xG sample

01 Nov 2026 Mlada Boleslav vs Hradec Králové xG for / against Mlada Boleslav: 2.45 / 1.09 Statistics synced: team 10 Nov 2026 11:24 UTC; opponent 10 Nov 2026 11:24 UTC.
17 Oct 2026 Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice xG for / against Mlada Boleslav: 1.04 / 1.63 Statistics synced: team 27 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC; opponent 27 Oct 2026 03:15 UTC.
19 Sep 2026 Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno xG for / against Mlada Boleslav: 1.03 / 2.49 Statistics synced: team 04 Oct 2026 05:35 UTC; opponent 04 Oct 2026 05:35 UTC.

Away matches

Vysočina Jihlava

Paired xG coverage: 0 of 5 form matches.

xG: N/A. No complete, valid pair was available for these matches at publication.

Missing values are excluded, never treated as zero. Provider xG methodology and model version are undisclosed; these figures are not claimed as inputs to the Provider model forecast.

Provider-reported team news

Absences & lineups

Saved at publication. These reports may be incomplete or later corrected; they are not live availability updates.

Mlada Boleslav

Reported absences

Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Vysočina Jihlava

Reported absences

Absences: N/A. No eligible records were available. This does not confirm a fully available squad.

Provider-reported lineup

Lineup: N/A. A complete, eligible starting XI was not available at publication.

Sync time records collection, not the provider's publication time or proof of completeness. No injury impact score, key-player ranking or probability adjustment is inferred.

Verifiable context

Table & schedule

Mlada Boleslav

4.8 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 08 Nov 2026 14:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Vysočina Jihlava

6.7 days between the previous completed match's kickoff and this scheduled kickoff.

Previous kickoff: 06 Nov 2026 17:00 UTC. Includes completed matches at either venue, including extra time or penalties.

League position and points: N/A.

Kickoff gaps are not measured recovery time. Table position alone does not establish motivation, rotation or tactical intent.

Head-to-head

Up to five FT meetings from the previous five years, newest first. Past meetings do not establish a current tactical advantage.

06 Jul 2024Mlada Boleslav 2–1 Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
09 Jul 2022Mlada Boleslav 4–1 Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs · UTC
19 Jan 2022Mlada Boleslav 4–1 Vysočina JihlavaFriendlies Clubs · UTC

Sources & limitations

Match results, schedule and standings come from the football data feed. Context retrieved 13 Nov 2026 00:11 UTC; provider estimates are attributed separately above. These comparisons are descriptive and are not claimed to be inputs to the Provider model.

Referee statistics and odds movement are not included in this publication. xG and team-news availability are shown separately above. Missing team-news records do not mean every player is available.

Read our data and publication methodology

Publication record

Fixture ID: 1649939
Method: factual-analysis-v1
Content checksum: 3c722a5a5b4ef917697ef1ff6af8580d043e35a4a676a8f39035dd8f84166845